Bread - Nordics | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - Nordics

Nordics

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$5.94bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.52% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$211.70 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 1.30bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 42.8kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread market in the Nordics is experiencing negligible growth due to various factors, including changing consumer preferences, increasing health consciousness, and the convenience of online shopping. Despite this slow growth, the market remains strong within the larger Food market, driven by the popularity of bread and cereal products.

Customer preferences: In the Nordics, there has been a growing demand for healthier and more sustainable food options, leading to a rise in popularity of organic and whole grain bread. This trend is driven by an increasing awareness of the benefits of a plant-based diet and a desire for transparency in food production. Additionally, there has been a shift towards convenience and time-saving solutions, with a rise in demand for pre-packaged bread products and online grocery shopping. These changes reflect a shift towards a more health-conscious and digitally-driven lifestyle among Nordic consumers.

Trends in the market: In the Nordics, the Bread Market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, with consumers seeking out products made with whole grains and natural ingredients. This trend is expected to continue, as health-consciousness becomes increasingly prevalent in the region. Additionally, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and vegan breads, driven by changing dietary preferences and the rise of plant-based diets. These trends present opportunities for industry players to innovate and cater to evolving consumer demands. However, it also poses challenges for traditional bread producers who may need to adapt their offerings to stay competitive. As the market continues to evolve, it will be crucial for stakeholders to stay abreast of these trends and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Local special circumstances: In the Nordics, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the region's cultural preferences for healthy, whole grain breads. This is driven by the region's focus on clean eating and sustainable food production. Additionally, the regulatory environment in the Nordics promotes transparency in food labeling, which has led to an increase in demand for organic and locally-sourced bread products. Furthermore, the unique geographical landscape of the Nordics, with its long winters and short summers, has resulted in a market that is highly seasonal, with a peak in sales during the colder months. These factors contribute to the distinct dynamics of the Bread Market in the Nordics compared to other markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is significantly impacted by macroeconomic factors in the Nordics. These include the region's stable economic growth, high disposable income, and strong focus on health and wellness. Additionally, the growth of the market is also influenced by global economic trends such as changing consumer preferences towards healthier food options and increasing demand for convenience foods. With supportive fiscal policies and investments in the food industry, the Nordics are experiencing steady market growth in the Bread Market. The rising population and changing demographics, including a growing number of health-conscious consumers, also contribute to the market's success in the region.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.