Is Week One Form For Rookie Quarterbacks Reliable?

This season, two rookie quarterbacks made their debut in week one - Carson Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles) and Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys). Wentz made a great start, being widely praised for his 101 rated game which included two touchdowns and a near 60 percent pass rate. The question many will be asking though, especially those with a fantasy team, is if this form can be carried into week two.

Statista has taken a look back over the last five NFL seasons to see to what extent week one form is a reliable marker for the next game for rookie quarterbacks. The results are mixed. Brandon Weeden, for example, had a nightmare debut for the Browns in 2012 with a catastrophic 5.1 rating. While things could hardly get worse in week two, he managed to bounce back in a big way to take home a 114.9 in his next game.

Over this time period, the most consistent start to a debut season belongs to Andy Dalton who back in 2011 followed his week one 102.4 with an equally solid 107. Overall though, it would appear to be a bit of a gamble to rely on any week one form being carried over into the next.