U.S. Presidential Election

Who Will Be Trump's VP Pick?

With former president Donald J. Trump the heavy favorite to win today’s Republican primary election in New Hampshire, the race for the Republican nomination could be over sooner rather than later. While Trump looks like the likely challenger to President Joe Biden, the question of who will be his running mate is still open and, according to Trump, it could remain unanswered for a while.

On Saturday, Trump told Fox News that he "may or may not release something" over the next few months regarding his vice-presidential pick, adding that “there’s no rush to that” and that “it won’t have any impact at all”. He gave the person he currently has in mind a 25-percent chance to end up on the ticket, suggesting that the race to become his running mate is still very much open.

Looking at the latest betting odds, which can be converted to implied probabilities, no VP candidate is currently given a 25-percent chance, indicating that the race is indeed wide open. According to OddsChecker, Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota, is the current frontrunner ahead of Elise Stefanik and Vivek Ramaswamy, who recently dropped out of the presidential race himself.

Description

This chart shows the implied probability of potential vice presidential candidates for Donald Trump abased on betting odds.

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U.S. favorability of Donald Trump 2024, by party
U.S. favorability of Donald Trump 2024
U.S. opinion on Trump's vice president pick 2024
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Public confidence in Joe Biden and Donald Trump worldwide in 2024, by country
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People thinking Donald Trump will be re-elected as U.S. President in 2024, by country

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