New Report

Brexit could cost the UK £100bn a year by 2030

Theresa May got the first green light for her Brexit agreement at the weekend when the remaining 27 EU countries voted to endorse its terms. Afterwards, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said that it is "the best deal possible for Britain". According to new analysis by the National Institute for Economic and Social Research though, the 'best' deal is far from a good one for the UK.

Assuming the UK leaves the EU Customs Union and Single Market in 2021 under the now approved agreement, by 2030, the country's economy is forecast to be £100bn per year worse off. This would be chiefly due to the predicted 3.9 percent fall in GDP, a drastic reduction in trade with the remaining EU states of 46 percent, a drop of 21 percent in foreign direct investment and a potential loss of 2 percent in tax revenue.

Description

This chart shows the predicted effect on the UK economy by 2030 if it leaves the EU in 2021.

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Forecasted effect of Brexit on GDP in the UK 2016-2035
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Brexit impact on musicians in the UK 2023
Share of people who think Brexit was the right or wrong decision 2020-2024
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What people think have been the main negative effects of Brexit as of 2023
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Main reasons Brexit has not turned out well, among Brexit supporters 2023
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Share of people who think Brexit was the right or wrong decision 2024, by age group

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